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Libya

14 Mar 2015
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The Libyan economy is fully dependent on the hydrocarbon sector – specifically oil. Substantial revenues from the energy sector coupled with a small population give Libya one of the highest per capita GDPs in Africa, but under the former regime little of this income flows down to the lower orders of society. The process of lifting US unilateral sanctions began in the spring of 2004; all sanctions were removed by June 2006, helping Libya attract greater foreign direct investment, especially in the energy sector.

During 2004–10, average growth was approximately 5 per cent, and foreign assets increased from $20 billion at end-2003 to $170 billion by end-2010. The non-hydrocarbon sectors grew rapidly––albeit from a low base––on the back of an ambitious public investment program, but the country remained dependent on hydrocarbons, which accounted for over 70 per cent of GDP, more than 95 per cent of exports, and approximately 90 per cent of government revenue. Development of the nascent private sector was constrained by the dominance of the state and by institutional weaknesses. As of end-2010, unemployment was estimated officially at 13.5 per cent with youth unemployment at 25–30 per cent.

During the revolution, the prolonged fighting had a far-reaching impact on standards of living, provision of basic services, and employment: economic activity contracted sharply in 2011 and consumer prices increased, primarily due to international sanctions and supply constraints. The restoration of hydrocarbon output underpinned the recovery of economic activity in 2012, with a resulting doubling of real GDP.

Consumer price inflation has been falling, with a year-on-year rate of -3.7 per cent in December 2012. The overall budget balance moved to a surplus of 20.8 per cent in 2012, from a deficit of 18.7 per cent of GDP in 2011. Similarly, the current account surplus widened to 36 per cent, from 9 per cent of GDP in 2011. Finally, broad money grew by 11.5 per cent with a modest shift from currency into deposits, and credit to the private sector increased by some 24 per cent.

Libya faces a long road ahead in liberalizing its primarily socialist economy, but the revolution has unleashed previously restrained entrepreneurial activity and increased the potential for the evolution of a more market-based economy. Climatic conditions and poor soils severely limit agricultural output, and Libya imports about 80% of its food. Libya's primary agricultural water source is the Great Manmade River Project.

But despite these challenges there are many reasons for optimism including Libya’s strategic position, its population with 50 per cent between the age of 18 and 45 years old and oil reserves of 60 billion barrels.

Economic Diversification

Actually Libyan oil sector constitutes about 50% of GDP, and 80% of government revenue. Diversification is an important issue because at current rates of production, Libyan oil reserves are not expected to last beyond the second decade of this century. Thus, the long-term health of the Libyan economy hinges on developing a self-sustaining non-petroleum sector. Otherwise, once oil reserves are depleted, Libya will become as poor as it was before its current oil boom.

The non-oil sector plays a role in the national growth. The attempts to boost the non-oil sector have given some results. For most of the last five years, new IMF figures show, the non-oil sector has been growing much faster - with growth rates from 6 to 10 percent - than the hydrocarbon sector. The non-oil developments are dominated by foreign workers.

However, two factors are of paramount importance. First Libya's GDP exhibits a very high level of volatility, with growth rates ranging from -36% to 60% in the last 20 years. Second, the performance of the country's GDP clearly trails that of world oil prices, which leaves the country open to a great deal of external risk and uncertainty.  

From a policy perspective, post-oil diversification should be made a national priority and should be coupled with a government strategy geared towards job creation for the youth. To this end, the transitional authorities face several complex issues.

 

Essential Information

Area: 1,775,000sq km
Population: 6,002,347 (2012 est.)
Capital: Tripoli
Principal Towns: Benghazi, Zawaia, Misurata, Khoms, Gharian, Jebel, Akhdar, Derna, Subha.
Languages: Arabic is the only official language. English and Italian is spoken in commerce.
 
Gross Domestic Product: $85.1 billion (2012 est.)
GDP per capita (PPP): $14,178 (2012 est.)
International Reserves: $121.4 billion (2012 est.)
Climate: Desert Mediterranean, temperate in the coastal zone with extremely hot, dry summers in the interior.
Currency:Libyan Dinar (LYD) = $0.81
 
DEMOGRAPHY
Population:
Age Distribution: (2012 est.)
0-14 years: 27.3%
15-24 years: 18.6%
25-54 years: 45.6%
55-64 years: 4.6%
65 years and over: 3.9%  
 
Population Growth: 2.0% (2012 est.)

Education:
89.2% Literacy rate, adult total (% of people ages 15 and above)


NATURAL RESOURCES
Fossil Fuel
Petroleum, natural gas
Minerals
Gypsum

Visa Requirements:

Passports must be accompanied by an official Arabic translation of the essential details. Most passport issuing authorities provide this on request, in the form of a visa-like stamp. Visas are required by holders of most non-Arab passports.

 Independence Day, 24 December

Current local time Weather

Diplomatic representation of Libya in Switzerland

Basic Economic Indicators

Libya: Economic and International trade indicators  

Libya: Economic indicators (2012) Value
Population (million) 6.0 (million)
Population growth (%) 2,00%
GDP (at current prices) $85.1 (billion)
GDP (at current prices) 2011 $35.7 (billion)
GDP per capita ($) $14178 (million)
Nominal GDP growth 2012 (%) 138,00%
Real GDP growth 2012 (%) 121,90%
Real GDP growth 2011 (%) -59,70%
Forecast real GDP growth 2013 (%) 16,70%
Exports $58.6 (billion)
Imports $38.0 (billion)
Trade balance $20.6 (billion)
Current account balance $18.6 (billion)
Current account balance (% GDP) 21,80%
Forecast current account balance 2013 $10.0 (billion)
Budget surplus/ deficit (% GDP) 19,40%
Forecast budget deficit/ surplus 2013 (% GDP) 7,70%
Inflation (%) 10,00%
External gross external debt (% GDP) 6,50%
Foreign currency reserves $121.4 (billion)
Labour force 1.875 million
Labour force - by occupation:
agriculture: 17%, industry: 23%, services: 59% (2004 est.)
Unemployment rate 30% (2004 est.)
Budgets and Taxes: Revenues $56.9 billion
Expenditures $51.4 billion
Public debt 1.9% of GDP
Source: IMF
Source: IMF, CIA factbook.

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Swiss Exports to the Arab world by commodity comparaisons between the Arab countries

Swiss Imports from the Arab world by commodity comparaisons between the Arab countries

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last modified on Tuesday, 22 March 2016 21:27
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